Middle East disruption remains the biggest supply-chain risk this week, while Beira, Conakry, Mombasa, Tema, Antwerp, and Rotterdam stand out as the ports LSP teams should be watching most closely.
• Middle East disruption remains the defining global risk. Strait of Hormuz closure, route avoidance around Bab al-Mandab and the Suez corridor, port closures, and GPS jamming are creating a reliability problem that goes beyond simple anchorage wait times.
• Africa is still the clearest congestion cluster in the hard numbers. Beira and Conakry remain the standout hotspots, while Mombasa, Tema, and Maputo continue to show enough pressure to affect schedule confidence and inland planning.
• Europe and Asia are seeing more “busy and brittle” conditions than outright shutdowns. Antwerp, Rotterdam, Singapore, Manila, and Tanjung Pelepas are still moving cargo, but strikes, weather, yard density, and berth constraints are raising execution risk.
Risk tiers definition
• Critical: Port closure, access restriction, or severe queue pressure already threatens schedule integrity and customer commitments.
• High: Port remains operational, but clear congestion signals, berth pressure, weather disruption, labour action, or yard constraints are increasing delay risk.
• Stable: Conditions are manageable for now, but planning teams should continue to monitor for rollover risk, bunching, or local disruption. (....)