The new Cirium Fleet Forecast projects commercial aircraft deliveries worth US$3.2 trillion through 2045. While production constraints temper the outlook, long-term aircraft demand remains strong despite higher fuel costs and geopolitical uncertainty.
LONDON (Oct. 13, 2026) – Cirium, the world’s most trusted source of aviation analytics, today released its annual Fleet Forecast, revealing the future of the global commercial passenger and freighter aircraft market. The long-running annual forecast produced by Cirium Ascend Consultancy provides an independent analysis of the state of the market.
This year’s forecast predicts some 43,000 new passenger and freighter jet and turboprop aircraft will be delivered globally between 2026 and 2045, with an estimated total value of US$3.2 trillion in 2026 dollars, as airlines invest in fleet growth and renewal. This compares with Cirium’s 2025 forecast of 46,500 aircraft deliveries worth US$3.4 trillion in 2025 dollars, reflecting a moderation in the long-term delivery outlook. (....)