International Air Transport Association (IATA): SAF Production Growth Rate is Slowing Down, Essential to Correct Course Ahead of e-SAF Mandates (9 December 2025)
Geneva – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released new estimates for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) production showing that:
In 2025, SAF output is expected to reach 1.9 million tonnes (Mt) (2.4 billion liters), double the 1 Mt produced in 2024. However, in 2026, SAF production growth is projected to slow down and reach 2.4 Mt.
SAF production in 2025 represents only 0.6% of total jet fuel consumption, increasing to 0.8% the following year. At current price levels, the SAF premium translates into an additional USD 3.6 billion in fuel costs for the industry in 2025.
The estimated SAF output for 2025 of 1.9 Mt is a downward revision from IATA’s earlier forecasts due to lack of policy support to take full advantage of the installed SAF capacities. SAF prices exceed fossil-based jet fuel by a factor of two, and by up to a factor of five in mandated markets.
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-12-09-04/
International Air Transport Association (IATA): European Air Traffic Control Delays Double Over Last Decade (9 December 2025)
Geneva — The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released a report revealing that Air Traffic Control (ATC) delays in Europe have more than doubled over the last decade, causing significant disruption for passengers.
Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM) delays in the region rose by 114% in the period 2015-2024. This is against a rise of only 6.7% in flight numbers over the same period. The analysis excluded delays caused by weather. Flight cancellations induced by ATC strikes were also not included in the analysis.
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-12-09-03/
International Air Transport Association (IATA): Airline Profitability Stabilizes with 3.9% Net Margin Expected in 2026 (9 December 2025)
Geneva – The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released its latest financial outlook for the global airline industry showing a stabilization of profitability even as supply chain issues persist. Highlights include:
Airlines are expected to achieve a combined total net profit of $41 billion in 2026 (up from $39.5 billion in 2025). While this would set a new record, the net profit margin is expected to be unchanged from 2025 at 3.9%. Net profit per passenger transported is expected to be $7.90 (below the 2023 high of $8.50, and unchanged from 2025).
Operating profit in 2026 is expected to be $72.8 billion (up from $67.0 billion in 2025) for a net operating margin of 6.9% (improved on the 6.6% expected for 2025).
Return on invested capital (ROIC) is expected to be 6.8% (unchanged from 2025). Despite deleveraging and improved operating profitability, ROIC is expected to remain below the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) estimated to be 8.2% in 2026.
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-12-09-01/
International Air Transport Association (IATA): Aerospace Supply Chain Bottlenecks Continue to Constrain Airlines (9 December 2025)
Geneva - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) updated its analysis of aerospace supply chain bottlenecks noting that aircraft availability remains one of the most significant constraints on industry growth in its just released global outlook.
While deliveries of new aircraft began to pick up in late 2025 and production is expected to accelerate in 2026, demand is forecast to outstrip the availability of aircraft and engines. The normalization of the structural mismatch between airline requirements and production capacity is unlikely before 2031-2034 due to irreversible losses on deliveries over the past five years and a record-high order backlog.
Notable points on the current situation include:
https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-12-09-02/
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Stichwörter: Pressemitteilungen der IATA vom 09-12-2025, SAF Production, Growth Rate, Slowing Down, International Air Transport Association (IATA), Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), European Air Traffic Control, Air Traffic Flow Management (ATFM), Airline Profitability, Net Margin, Return on invested capital (ROIC), weighted average cost of capital (WACC), Aerospace Supply Chain Bottlenecks, Constrain Airlines
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